Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 6:14:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 6:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61.09
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
36.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 36 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.62 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Net sender
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
15.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:13:20 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
36.09 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:14:31 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,905.16 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:12:09 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
25 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:15:42 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:10:59 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:16:55 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
29,999.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:09:47 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
20,099.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/11/2026, 6:18:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
25 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:14:56 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x003d004a0b1903ee08354b1916abde04c715aba4fb4327216ba8eb717f95c055
15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:14:22 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0033003418a649c2d86bcb0877e31a86ddb714ed36273133d023e96014b4b017
15.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:14:22 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004e002c98e23f3c31ce1edb55a01c48d18afdf5eb6552dd31d199699e8da2b5
5.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 6:14:22 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x006d006403f89baea6a8b289c19d676265fdda150400067c7ee05668b420311a