Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 3:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 3:48:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 3:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,478.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
5.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,540.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1541 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 3:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
23,939.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,939.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,538.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 23,939.07 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
310 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:47:25 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,540.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:48:36 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:46:05 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
67,882 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:49:47 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:44:54 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:50:58 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:43:44 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:52:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,939.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:48:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:48:49 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0032002e1ac94bb69a108842178109cfff07fb31f074e856fbaa705f0d29a7be
23,939.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:48:49 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00690031e0e41abe695277a34b66d79f97223a78529f603e8021aa4781ae8f09
2.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:48:15 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x0026004c320062185287592c35c72d7e86b900ebdaaa1b678002fbdc26ec480f
1,025.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:48:06 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006e783E57a1cDF3A65eeF2e23cdD6a53F587Ae3
Tx: 0x007e005fa32fc299ea350ec4e3dbb89644d010e9de839c84e363f246d140bfe5
512.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:48:06 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0031fd3A6493fd46e3747acB2B42903147C487b1
Tx: 0x0063002d16f716d25e41a8d110d80788883b9fece280559c3b79ee9e59c68e7c