Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 3:14:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
28% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,924.13
Unexplained QUAI: 12,578.37
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
5.4x previous minute
3.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
17,502.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 17503 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,127.22 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net sender
Unknown type
1,691.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
Net sender
Unknown type
920.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
920.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
876.27 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,127.22 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
17,502.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:14:00 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3,255.98 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:12:50 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,924.13 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:15:19 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
10,063.68 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:11:39 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
123.3 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:16:30 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate21 tx
32,413.82 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:10:26 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,231.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:17:41 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
647.55 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:09:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,691.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
759.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063e540C5ec7D4dF043d2481bcE7929E1D1FAB2
Tx: 0x0064006f7a0b31bf6620bc781aa54393d45cfde4ce2bba588e1e970130ea5ce6
116.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x00330065b16c653e18323d4fb7b1c56273874a97fb22700411bd7f6850c32ad9
920.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0070004448fc3dc8446ce3c6b88f54dc23659ab727d882dc95dc45d24c50b144
524.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013003f38d0410c0d4133972fd0c784174cb3bb3d1f073676f1ab7027a85efa
151.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x005b603C8D33511c6DF524BE933365e1AF0Df9Cc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0042c894ccff55d955dfba4537bbee57514c91272d7c11943ca5da5c47e7
647.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f007cde981733b407d284cd6924e9533a5384a39c8d305b99f06bac5381e7
112.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c000952338b8ad2d9bab8ffc3ce74373343aee79aa3c7e166a6329a508e97
1,691.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d002c21918312bd3021c91fa8856582518010f3b3301f15654cbbab7e7a04