Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 3:03:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
66% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,763.87
Unexplained QUAI: 17,097.05
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
7.5x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
68
Observable rows
11
16.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
77
Asset volume
49,860.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 49861 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 58
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
24,994.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4
Net receiver
Unknown type
24,994.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,026.58 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,422.51 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,912.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 24,994.6 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate68 tx
49,860.92 QUAI • 77 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
6,630.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:02:02 A.M.
+1 min
47 tx
40,853.3 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:04:29 A.M.
-2 min
58 tx
18,172.57 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:00:49 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
32,506.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:59:35 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
25,403.46 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:05:41 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
3,160.82 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:06:53 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
16,244.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:58:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
24,994.6 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
965.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00541EB654c3A18058F0F55315E4724be03Cf344
Tx: 0x0052006407d97e684606ee8779951059b13a206635c7f4f283d0fd06bbe117ab
801.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007289C3f0e5E99F9F8fcf22369Ce5893101697f
Tx: 0x0016000ad5f15a29945d4b82ca5f610586c3b0dae5ac82cf986866e0dfb7ed45
8.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:51 A.M.
From: 0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003900140e19cf9c0a903778af083b6432c8c106f5106effd7cbd12c39b7e123
4.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:51 A.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e0060454b61fe254c929a1abc248321a129ebc79bb8fcae1b9b6fb1d09a02
298.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:51 A.M.
From: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007a0032936375089fa3b3392e1acfbbdd71d8ca2e03c7561d22793e55077bc6
8.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:51 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00090014a16b5be6a0e073811944bde68152a02b5f201ce13ed989fa8bac9fbb
544.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Tx: 0x0008004e4797e1b6d3047fa3a89bbfa9cf49bb69f49a8e4e5af29683d1ca0e98
1,525.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Tx: 0x0045001eae97e58fe47e1a7305775d7d8cafcdee9c7dd410ff3e95b1eec932a0
1,912.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005250f5a3209deebA83cFCfEFf62eb98f909F76
Tx: 0x00630060a6f294eaf234b7873b5bf20a002be267c2a800746cebed9291facb06
1,699.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x007900042db20282fd397ef9a2c7098864ef8583877c27accae12cd4e2023473
24,994.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 3:03:33 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000753F31204f499EdDbeeBBd2a9D9C77C2117F4
Tx: 0x004d003f799b71fcf7d85a6cc6079ba5da06453cd02ef2445db1ddad0c334990
