Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 2:58:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 34,826.49
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
16,244.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 16245 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,461.27 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,805.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,366.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
16,244.76 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:58:22 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
20,953.84 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:56:56 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
6,900.92 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:55:35 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
32,506.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:59:35 A.M.
+3 min
58 tx
18,172.57 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:00:49 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
5,784.75 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:54:16 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,630.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/11/2026, 3:02:02 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
9,317.52 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:52:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
2,718.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004bF31105dDb4957562d8FF9ed07460215A20ca
Tx: 0x007e001e83b606d34cb2883f67d544a4fbb1aa5db0dd767840b463208d5bffeb
1,643.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x001100541ae9ad5dcd364de71fd064942908ef8ac8fd0f21c1aec6e4cd709784
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:53 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0034007c8af7512466fad1e91494c09647acbae8bdc88a4692c7f5f0c6e2cced
5,805.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Bf2F5479D958937fDC59149c69A6d3f3Aac07
Tx: 0x002c0042d6c7c208f93c2d6066978ebe208646c3bb6998cdedea0b881b2aceb3
172.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:29 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x005000231cc884ff3ae9aba811cd101318767c2b2dc8605dfe49772c63f6f6fd
3,550.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x002b006132c7800af0fbe1dc54c3a976ab7b8e8a49ee4c2222671479d2e99d06
937.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:58:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
Tx: 0x0014002c6b0556855c4755bdab272b08f6bbd1ecd1785852047b8ace83753a45