Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 2:47:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,386.35
Unexplained QUAI: 7,947.13
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
4.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
10,333.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 10333 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,793.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,793.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
592.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net receiver
Unknown type
592.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
10,333.49 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:47:09 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate20 tx
23,603.6 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:45:29 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
2,386.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:48:32 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
19,243.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:44:11 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
11,458.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
15,711.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:51:14 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,307.53 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:42:27 A.M.
-6 min
10 tx
22,710.8 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:41:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,793.52 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:47:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,793.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:47:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Tx: 0x005e000ca455f5fdd031b628bdd923ecbd187e1b4a5bed22d77aedd74a742983
592.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:47:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Tx: 0x005f002677e6a8f6264a5273d21f70b5835c02545e89cf4901fe1aa7c8201470