Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
68% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,963.85
Unexplained QUAI: 1,424.15
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
4,387.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 4388 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,650.52 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Net receiver
Unknown type
865.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net sender
Unknown type
758 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
Net receiver
Unknown type
758 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
555.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
4,387.99 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:30:25 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
21,001.84 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:29:01 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
3,314.98 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:31:45 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate22 tx
27,380.48 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:27:27 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
12,314.83 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:26:01 A.M.
+4 min
20 tx
20,847.84 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:33:33 A.M.
-5 min
16 tx
5,871.08 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:24:36 A.M.
+5 min
11 tx
5,085.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/11/2026, 2:35:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
865.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
185.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:42 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0058b70bA143A711E425E495C9f07309453b4130
Tx: 0x004700317e702443405600f881ddcb8569913b487b8ece12dd38ec35fbc81dde
865.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Tx: 0x006e001ca501078fe12cad520d2dee5b052affa3dfdd367685ed9a260cae1fa0
758 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:42 A.M.
From: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
To: 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
Tx: 0x002d0024b226e5c6562d26b0ddee63faa56c10a1871104ee45d3239df65d8293
443.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0036F1BFd8Bd051fE67e15B44a7A7B086b0A00BD
Tx: 0x004500317d844272f04ce07a6bb5d8524fb9e9a0898354ef7c8272104b7d1bf8
122.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005736bcE6d6cd850687fEf9B27f2506297549FE
Tx: 0x00320000682c5f94a080d63ea9aa7e8aa7140e16f1057b684bb953cfa88df31c
246.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0055BEA689FD0d99a5f69b06E8a14907ED2350A1
Tx: 0x0049001dc719da112961346561f8e3f345d1c40f0ed013193764470859294d73
341.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 2:30:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00364843Bf0a53f898a40072C490B2700244c02E
Tx: 0x006d0043ceeb4fa74708fe53224ccec8c2d4b84bd297ab872315083169d9db23
