Spike bucket
09/11/2026, 1:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/11/2026, 1:07:00 A.M. to 09/11/2026, 1:08:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
55% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 28.98
Unexplained QUAI: 23.74
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 86% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
52.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 53 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/11/2026, 1:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (45% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (55%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
Net sender
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
3.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
27 tx
834.76 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:05:55 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
52.72 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:07:51 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:04:39 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
206.08 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:09:05 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:10:26 A.M.
-4 min
54 tx
963.43 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:03:18 A.M.
-5 min
50 tx
853.71 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:01:47 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate1 tx
4,759.25 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/11/2026, 1:11:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
25 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:07:45 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:07:45 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x006c0058c8d2a0005559c710fe6770f0516919ac0d987de7cbf3f48cda837094
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/11/2026, 1:07:45 A.M.
From: 0x0019F740D9e1602Ce0e5a5da864E50b8d7d5aB61
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0055004ff4caca0eea4c58b1aaeb0a186a37607f76a9784fb732ff1f009b290d