Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 11:09:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 461.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
6.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
461.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 462 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
461.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
255.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
Net sender
Unknown type
103.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
Net sender
Unknown type
102.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 461.87 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
800 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:08:49 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
69.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:07:30 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
461.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:10:09 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:11:28 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
137.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:06:14 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate50 tx
6,915.16 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:04:54 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:12:43 P.M.
-5 min
53 tx
1,463.38 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:03:41 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
255.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:09:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
102.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c002b48d0bb45408801a063ace623841adf315aff5b889cf7dc5075381172
255.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00180042ad3e48dc6cd40b32c80ab0e0d6580b07efd0a80a488c7f828b4c34b6
103.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:09:44 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002700197cdff8effed36fa537d7494709b8a1ebf1a27fb78a1d586dce6ad9cf