Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 11:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 69.62
Unexplained QUAI: 68.14
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
137.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 138 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 11:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
56.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
13.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
137.76 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:06:14 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate50 tx
6,915.16 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:04:54 P.M.
-2 min
53 tx
1,463.38 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:03:41 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
69.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:07:30 P.M.
-3 min
26 tx
350.99 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:02:30 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
800 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:08:49 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
461.87 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:10:09 P.M.
-5 min
27 tx
480.03 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:01:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
56.35 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:06:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
56.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x001000657ed8f4ccc6f714166aaf2f52949a8278a6fa2263d65aaba8948f1a46
13.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:06:10 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x001d000eda6b11dee6111f3b0f357c49a4be38e489fe45d677d0213cebf5ad68