Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 11:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 11:01:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 11:02:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
73% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 350.99
Unexplained QUAI: 129.05
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 350
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
27
Observable rows
26
96.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
39
Asset volume
480.03 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 480 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 26 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 11:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (27% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 26 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
350.99 QUAI across 26 visible rows
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067562F5323d54c3dC97A24ed303F3717811610
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
27 tx
480.03 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:01:12 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:59:53 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:58:38 P.M.
+2 min
26 tx
350.99 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:02:30 P.M.
+3 min
53 tx
1,463.38 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:03:41 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate10 tx
19,943.25 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:57:18 P.M.
+4 min
50 tx
6,915.16 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/10/2026, 11:04:54 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
1,928 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:55:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
55.37 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
All transfers in this selected minute
26 transactions
11.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002a02366D5D81d81d74d4f520B9c1Cd17f5e50e
Tx: 0x0028003afc57fe50575df59a69324758bea2bf1d40c3299e17b6274866296178
4.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0035b871d1C6CAA446c24E945CA576F9184ccc66
Tx: 0x005a00617c9f3e52e502df5b6b54f422a466afa356857bea6654a6a6cc6599e8
55.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Tx: 0x0053001fa1c8df498df5f7b1a4d443a33e751d890fe30a7f69d1e7630d281017
6.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x002e001b5b41d251eb82819c5d9a7e823baf8d660b9c8ab5b464b90d310cbadc
20.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00374E3a581B55Cf90e532176E423AF2527bb3F9
Tx: 0x005f0065f0124eb3a29b97a41c6dd3cecb48e80cd6f4e8cf89274344b6ff7fb3
7.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001b629a8992fc22B5122cE8F5B5B5753B62FDE4
Tx: 0x002000588ee1ffc1bd5121f3fe942864f5f56447fd29cb0642421a34b7d96730
5.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003DE90581096136B450076507A2994e08Cb2cAF
Tx: 0x00170050faf2e50fd477217901bd227b38d25fc4cef96383b620f132fd91f30b
25.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00410B28f7f1Ec1b834612bfc5923Cbfa01177F8
Tx: 0x003e007497a2c3fe2385781b0733e028ca2ad9b971b32e598080aff1d45e762b
5.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
Tx: 0x0044001854d8eaec0cb0910b038df8a7d7acc8e65e4478d024268b5201084b0b
9.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0051D9237c244E1ef72649145D04989b4B4cCdC1
Tx: 0x0063001ec51b03c37835be9d6f9a1a2b3656a18902a3df1a6bf316bd9754e0b7
19.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Tx: 0x00640048f12c74a73209de14044082b150ec2bd4d89fd0b39b493ebb92ffb879
19.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x0020006a94eec689b9f79326ebd2ebde1082bbc477303a8f51dc535189168cc0
15.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00155b6eA28CFE8DB1374c39e0ec92c57d03eF25
Tx: 0x0049005ed881b7f042a32288dca4134fd894382da2fb251553b960fc89fb332d
6.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005384Cd7aE33b1CC1A2D9843BA446a4706AdA8E
Tx: 0x001e0057ffa02e3041527b81dc1bac650050fdd750066e3ec0308bece64120a3
6.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00365E021BE772DFe2c69974341DA58Da7b32947
Tx: 0x000200059756c9de6368f56e97d20ce1acf4ce2cf6eb4e51e559683187e1f78a
8.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
Tx: 0x006b0041f1158f1af726f99c7b647e621117795d719458ca9e468f3f68686ae0
5.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006A94eac5270A16339F549994537DD907cFE0B6
Tx: 0x007b0028545e66c0fab2cd61bc5d1569cbe04a153390cfe7850920fe4c3764bb
5.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
Tx: 0x005600724bb892250a268895cbccd8271007bf6100d31bd86ac3b479886879d7
6.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
Tx: 0x0025007d2bca49a776bca866c89d2af9ec9d932ee7c5fac4dad1cce7c6334d8f
16.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Tx: 0x003c003a23e3da8cb199f0cd790fe2a0d29663264cb42d1058b58d1b5fbdfcbc
21.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0067562F5323d54c3dC97A24ed303F3717811610
Tx: 0x005200709b24506564bdf9c9217b6a4d18f66391bce979d6b12e2ac09001ccb5
32.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Tx: 0x00700066fd799f7420b0b25515146d25717157602487281c809755d399af696a
9.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000bc811aC57362C92b5B5c0945015955Bdb2130
Tx: 0x001a003ca5009fecaa6de794bca2cd2fb7271cb40a72d16dcec9271ebe13e276
16.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000d26302a0C81A41B5d303366Ef9439A020Fae2
Tx: 0x005f00597a07a702db593996b162b6e290dc0a701764fcad3389c9626b74245e
4.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
Tx: 0x0021001efbe55b89dc93946b1aed9204789ea9fde1f5765486e74f781f68f3d6
5.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 11:01:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007600F1d2F1aeec5f127a5c8f512dAc28A2f249
Tx: 0x001f004bea565af9ebbb59f0ce7caed9300bf496c2328853ae4aef204a24882c
