Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 10:54:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 10:55:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
64% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,248
Unexplained QUAI: 1,272
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
7
77.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
3,520 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 3520 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (36% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,578 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,578 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
600 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
354.74 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00ea3a259fa260DE60eF72d01CBD4Dc82F2b509c
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate15 tx
51,626.46 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:53:19 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
3,520 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:54:39 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:52:03 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,928 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:55:59 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
4.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:50:47 P.M.
+3 min
10 tx
19,943.25 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:57:18 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:49:31 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:58:38 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,578 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x002A3256Dd0C2fD7b78B9737d946358f75c37878
Tx: 0x00630019cd059e850e3c428ad675329c9bba4339ccd11094cded965bcf166797
1,578 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x006c006dcd566a2a1fe6a59a63972827fe2a7c5442454ce0ee476e11d73b62e7
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
From: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
To: 0x000fBD5D6685D71d1C85D69fB6c46147E606d0c2
Tx: 0x000c0078fb1d3a299d633f4ebe5297f6fc95fec50262ac30370e8ce49c9e3f0c
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:27 P.M.
From: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
To: 0x005F4623E0Bd3A6DFa9880ff4029B0346D50004b
Tx: 0x00540020f6e9562843da3761d400c1869d1b8b6721ccb5521643393f41f8e556
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:27 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00ea3a259fa260DE60eF72d01CBD4Dc82F2b509c
Tx: 0x0021004acb3ec23071aca0c910826a75486e062bff2002562f56ac1ad8af62d2
4.74 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:19 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00D4Aa1F0FaC38e0a3Eb24558759c59d2298a73e
Tx: 0x007800f54430b4c18177b9faf38fb2f357034249f04a536417d3e1f9225f3e3d
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:12 P.M.
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x005F4623E0Bd3A6DFa9880ff4029B0346D50004b
Tx: 0x0065002970c67169980e5c44e4a480fa4e096e8492d5e937b69c702f94c3cb84
