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Spike bucket

09/10/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/10/2026, 10:54:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 10:55:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
64% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,248
Unexplained QUAI: 1,272
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
7
77.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
3,520 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 3520 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f • 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowPartial source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 10:54:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (36% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
Net sender
Unknown type
1,578 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,578 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
600 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
354.74 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00ea3a259fa260DE60eF72d01CBD4Dc82F2b509c
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,578 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x002A3256Dd0C2fD7b78B9737d946358f75c37878
Tx: 0x00630019cd059e850e3c428ad675329c9bba4339ccd11094cded965bcf166797
1,578 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
From: 0x002D0166a9C7289ACAb09B0d90E9f00A48e34C4f
To: 0x0020BdF125303a076Ec0648E186eD6fA85687D66
Tx: 0x006c006dcd566a2a1fe6a59a63972827fe2a7c5442454ce0ee476e11d73b62e7
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:59 P.M.
From: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
To: 0x000fBD5D6685D71d1C85D69fB6c46147E606d0c2
Tx: 0x000c0078fb1d3a299d633f4ebe5297f6fc95fec50262ac30370e8ce49c9e3f0c
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:27 P.M.
From: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
To: 0x005F4623E0Bd3A6DFa9880ff4029B0346D50004b
Tx: 0x00540020f6e9562843da3761d400c1869d1b8b6721ccb5521643393f41f8e556
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:27 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00ea3a259fa260DE60eF72d01CBD4Dc82F2b509c
Tx: 0x0021004acb3ec23071aca0c910826a75486e062bff2002562f56ac1ad8af62d2
4.74 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:19 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00D4Aa1F0FaC38e0a3Eb24558759c59d2298a73e
Tx: 0x007800f54430b4c18177b9faf38fb2f357034249f04a536417d3e1f9225f3e3d
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:54:12 P.M.
From: 0x005A3560C44e506626A26352466429cC963F9fB7
To: 0x005F4623E0Bd3A6DFa9880ff4029B0346D50004b
Tx: 0x0065002970c67169980e5c44e4a480fa4e096e8492d5e937b69c702f94c3cb84