Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 10:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 10:17:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 10:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 4.74
Unexplained QI: 345.26
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 11% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A • 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A • 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c.
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 10:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
9 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
Net sender
Unknown type
4.74 QI across 1 visible row
0x00F5671C725ddD1A6c7100b134a0c9E1FDba00fC
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.74 QI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
4 repeated flows • 4 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:17:17 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
10 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:16:06 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
18 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:18:28 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate7 tx
25.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:14:55 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:13:41 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:19:45 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:20:56 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
10 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 10:12:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4.74 QI
Derived whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:05 P.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00F5671C725ddD1A6c7100b134a0c9E1FDba00fC
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:53 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0018003b3301c150dfdb9dab1e1d380cf83759579a2bd4924232a518a553e717
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:35 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x004d0003d5bbf99668ecae38b02db7e6f4e4ae27df74a8e87445c43938a833aa
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:35 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0061005d767d3707c3c6b3855fee44d0bb6f460ac3b1ddb4cbaf90b359fa3b4b
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:33 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: StratumX miner
0x00215254D1dDdd5D90671bA981688197A2735c1f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x005a003fa5346eda0b80ca9ac905ff09aeaf4441cf5ec774b7d9377e95750c39
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:22 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x000c0066c64af8bcb357f7b4d014c897743a775dbce995851ddac12df00bf9a4
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:22 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x007b3D8f1e5fA29b9609e8857a26deE3ed1EeAAA
Tx: 0x006e003d86ba56fc3c0ada760ca9f63336215c70cb602517f748dd83f7aea09e
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:22 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x002f00584aecc230d0655f8ada93a1f5b462d91e4f1db6fe61e960005bb51c59
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:22 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0006007fbf81ce0e153e0b5cffc736c0c924bae0d2ec2224fd2d6501e7623f36
4.74 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:05 P.M.
From: 0x0024FeaA6A27065419Cc385A625a72a9A4c6c65c
To: 0x00F5671C725ddD1A6c7100b134a0c9E1FDba00fC
Tx: 0x006c00e80b9056ca7b9d47106886eb01e0e4a040161842cfaf7e377c1177c556
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 10:17:04 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x006751Bec530bbeDc67aCA74911396c6cA8C6bd3
Tx: 0x00450015976657d0a7ad5d374660d10cfa77bdeb6bbdc9ad3fb7c28bfbba0ece