Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 8:32:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 8:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 750.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
750.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 751 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 8:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
200.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
200.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
2,090 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:31:25 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
750.73 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:32:42 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:30:08 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,097.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:33:59 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
50 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:28:46 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
48.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:35:10 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:27:30 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
33 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:36:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:32:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:32:03 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0074000257bf0ba42a3e11f98519f41738ee20cfd046b818efccc43ae99aaa95
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:32:03 P.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x002A3256Dd0C2fD7b78B9737d946358f75c37878
Tx: 0x006e00299affb81b4da3cb6c162fde3bee3ec18c843f131101053e1e3de80ee8
200.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:32:03 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x003d0003e1c974d14284f8c0220c5163c1cb44f023c44e80bd3f855626923d29