Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 8:09:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 8:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 582.8
Unexplained QUAI: 19,416.2
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
34x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
19,999 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 8:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
309.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
273 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
273 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
Net sender
Unknown type
105.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Net sender
Unknown type
104.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 309.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
19,999 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:09:29 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
10,252.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:08:11 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
13,374.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:06:55 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
582.8 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:10:46 P.M.
-3 min
16 tx
717.29 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:05:37 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:12:05 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
7,406.69 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:13:23 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 8:04:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
273 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:09:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
273 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:09:55 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x000b0068ce5dcc3c73821cb617200e112554f0a7296c803f14df968dc44f0c5e
99.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:09:55 P.M.
From: 0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b000f2efecb73de0686f5be6a33ee1c68d9033c3b98fe554f37cfc86bf1ce
104.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:09:55 P.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073001dd15cd7a69bd3672167015794df767d06f5daff5ce67a649175496039
105.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 8:09:55 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a0069d6d3da6408fdaef85b03e9e4b681319f59111f1c40ec674398b09133