Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 7:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 7:44:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 7:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
23.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004aC3bC8D2cb20e54fA4A900574152EACCe5Bc1 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004aC3bC8D2cb20e54fA4A900574152EACCe5Bc1 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 7:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004aC3bC8D2cb20e54fA4A900574152EACCe5Bc1
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0050A8806C74b41ba7083d25dcbACbDD7A06f5EA
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
Net sender
Unknown type
3.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:43:55 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:42:38 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
23.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:45:12 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:46:27 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:41:22 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:40:07 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:47:44 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:38:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:44:49 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004aC3bC8D2cb20e54fA4A900574152EACCe5Bc1
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:44:49 P.M.
From: 0x004aC3bC8D2cb20e54fA4A900574152EACCe5Bc1
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00300015c8813fa9de58075eac2ceb59fd7276f2cacca63c4f80e4eadb4c079a
3.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:44:49 P.M.
From: 0x00288BBE13f05Caf01D9f89F52a0A2B7FC3FF1f2
To: 0x0068B89697dC157f69BFC9d79185aE0794546953
Tx: 0x007d006b6803d8bf844bb4c69c8b3022bdfd16760b776876c9d3a5fc7ec4163a
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:44:12 P.M.
From: 0x0050A8806C74b41ba7083d25dcbACbDD7A06f5EA
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x004100385220e47dad3a1593638e453fa622c5777b56dbaf6a481f5865cb01a4