Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 7:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 7:06:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 7:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
32% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19.95
Unexplained QUAI: 41.76
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
3.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
61.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 62 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 7:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
12.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
6.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
61.71 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:06:11 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate33 tx
1,056.85 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:04:53 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
218.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:03:41 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
19.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:07:33 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
3.94 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:08:48 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
567.09 QUAI • 57 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:02:24 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
104.4 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:10:04 P.M.
-5 min
50 tx
692.22 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:01:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
12.97 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:06:04 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:06:04 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0077004638fa4f040ae7f837afb7d332c45bc738086991c3f74b33e152f5bf3f
12.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:06:04 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003a007a5ea0870171416ade4bd28b871971c0c566931a16dcdeafefaef2aec5