Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 7:03:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 7:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 268.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
218.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 218 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 7:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
218.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
Net sender
Unknown type
111.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
106.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044ca417c8395d9A9b212670752A3B476F4e166
Net sender
Unknown type
50.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 218.39 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
50 tx
567.09 QUAI • 57 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:02:24 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
218.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:03:41 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
692.22 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:01:12 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate33 tx
1,056.85 QUAI • 50 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:04:53 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:59:56 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
61.71 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:06:11 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:58:38 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
19.95 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 7:07:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:03:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
50.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:03:42 P.M.
From: 0x0044ca417c8395d9A9b212670752A3B476F4e166
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b00576756fb82e0dc55e1ba1fe6a919d882e1b7dd723702b6fe5bc6e5fc2b
106.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:03:19 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e004963f734527b4d2bfc880bfafac6fef12d736f8873a248fdd1188aba27
111.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 7:03:19 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0056ecbdc9fa6dd57640c8c23c8127f5c2a93849853ef746388159e46b40