Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 6:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,599.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
294x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
3,599.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3599 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,599.43 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,955.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
Net sender
Unknown type
711.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
Net sender
Unknown type
238.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
Net sender
Unknown type
155.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,599.43 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
4 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:08:51 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
12.26 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:07:35 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,599.43 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:10:07 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:11:23 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate28 tx
32,524.42 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:06:18 P.M.
-4 min
15 tx
444.13 QUAI • 32 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:05:03 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:12:39 P.M.
-5 min
53 tx
2,456.01 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:03:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,955.19 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
238.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014004b26d4b1aaa899e48b5a821beb933f6edb8c6285d43dbdcd669dcead64
146.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x0005EF22Dff611f376446762c42A72565b9550D2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c004f784fd2f73484b939603a4bf430c235812437ec2d6452f9b0174360ab
1,955.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d00407b92b524c49fa764c783ca35151e41f5141a1cecb3ce568ba190e8b3
155.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00320039b47f212406d75c08dcf17e38a40f99b3eb4d63fb11e50653525aa5f5
125.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f003a7e13e79f07ec151f29aae9fa17b57c6614c378dbd9dbed3012ca6d90
711.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x0039D4bF31CdAdD166F3c1c1E9f3a2B03A38aD66
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005500566ce8f94e97d6e9674fc25092be78b2c914663a824fed2dbb6d4288c4
118.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130024e115405250b84852c3f9b924281e29ea2cd171e9a5afaeaa516726f0
148.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003007f4f7cfebd5d660b29b350bfb26a8b3cf22333ed452e9aa97a1a2ba1dd