Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 4:04:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 272.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
272.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 273 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
272.87 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
47.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
53 tx
1,413.87 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:03:21 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
272.87 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:04:41 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
666.89 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:02:09 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:06:01 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:00:50 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,010.54 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:07:20 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:59:34 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 4:08:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
94.67 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
15.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Tx: 0x0069002997867883835c4a76cdb6c66d92c1dc3fc831722b1effa85b84a8cd65
94.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x006f0070bb8c12539f2c74973f300455410a3f98817b2b88888a94c17088f9d7
23.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x007c007fa15ff1a33219d8655b8886bbe57425e5176ad4710cd52380e1adbac7
47.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00310049cae18de34798fa2aab5d537cb18b2112ab7619a05c7fdffa3b47b7ba
4.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005581090aB83408A97aa15376EC84Fb3dbdEa45
Tx: 0x00310039f49a74e461bcb81ccf99a0b43f9cf24d46f0b8d4d288f96fbf21d992
31.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x006d00388a630cfbf5d97241e032017c63967f8877e5c65f33ba6070f8583079
5.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x00540024bb91433cded7b6c56f1dc0e42663031cc5bf825ff7f9728cffc6d660
17.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
Tx: 0x0060001843d35962d81a1661f73f6849fac8d6ecdb9f4472d53b98fc6339209b
31.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 4:04:13 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
Tx: 0x0056004d30e54b8eae6b5f392243754ff0f5480a71da9f7f0d17a76fac0dc3cd