Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,368.38
Unexplained QUAI: 17,472.77
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 10% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
42
Observable rows
12
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
58
Asset volume
23,841.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 23841 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,368.38 QUAI across 12 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED
Net sender
Unknown type
609.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Net sender
Unknown type
596.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
Net sender
Unknown type
592.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Net sender
Unknown type
586.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,368.38 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
42 tx
23,841.16 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:25:22 P.M.
-1 min
26 tx
32,981.88 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
-2 min
20 tx
90,124 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:22:56 P.M.
+2 min
28 tx
13,786.89 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:26:37 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
436,556.02 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:21:39 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:29:11 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:20:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
609.8 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
596.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028003245597451ec9ff0009d1830a67ce52b140b96b0ebb9fae3e05c328c86
455.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710050fadfc012644976440dd792a6c0378f355abf95855877bfacaa149419
556.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f003241fe6d407e36418d5bd69ab4bfb4537682ef3d3d724209c9a20c4f03
433.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x006926f49aE482c8C22101886Dda8391623b1DB5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580028ecb6637a331db54c9c110ae3c284f30e93521c20ac31a4a03f398f75
464.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x006D137416aBdfBd83e3eE6d2282bf4Cc1E46E5E
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f00237d0f9009678b73ca817a4a087469ebaa8ab893024d304e4fbffcf0e1
586.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0035006c84294abd349c87e0ce44baae8acd4e5dd87f572b5fe40db999c6bcb7
609.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x0015c4e2c642C2b67aE21f3a7835E742019ab9ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057000e78c4a98e7a58eadd61c7e31a8c67c3820a570ed35d85ff9a586358b3
548.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x000AE7fa57265AeB4901eEE71c3a75AEeC9f6811
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065007d79644661c55f13b81ccb682b1e6c8e5f63ffc4c413a8525915a67b7d
445.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042007fdc306475cdb9a14014a6208586aa7711183c9bf446e9edbc925abb74
592.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019006764aad6034df2c0afa6f6c0708f7ec72ef5cf1a8048287cf3b3b223cb
539.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x003b1B44a596056810E215CdfAf009E3F0234B17
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00090011ee88d89831bf4f0fb026b2c538b8f95719a96b80bdefd254f8b7a92f
539.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:25:37 P.M.
From: 0x003337fCEEadb0C33A1F2A658ffAae267459c3Eb
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000002b200e53e490aad252da7c3cde87253dd41e9e035455cce8e167f4697f