Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,987.95
Unexplained QUAI: 77,136.05
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 21% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
6
30.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
90,124 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 90124 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
12,987.95 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
Net sender
Unknown type
2,699.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
Net sender
Unknown type
2,304.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Kryptex miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
2,111.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net sender
Unknown type
2,042.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 12,987.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
436,556.02 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:21:39 P.M.
+1 min
20 tx
90,124 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:22:56 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:20:23 P.M.
+2 min
26 tx
32,981.88 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:19:13 P.M.
+3 min
42 tx
23,841.16 QUAI • 58 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:25:22 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:18:02 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:16:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,699.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2,042.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:18 P.M.
From: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007200028d0a2f3bd03b71eba7dd1ea70e08029fdea09c6144c76f1c6a7b8e9c
2,016 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:18 P.M.
From: 0x005A52BA6D0dEc9631A7Ac0Dc5bc77dd98261275
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074002da7a4d2416473be0c625e53fc7326e7c735825a02603c5afd0b13f8fc
1,813.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:18 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x0066e4081031e109830ae61BDC5B2a32f2BE9243
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068006053b5424edf48285383e19ad872bbd40308dacdbe832b0f20384c6408
2,699.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
From: 0x002cB89687B584eAf97A811dBC38F0cDfa7D55A0
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047005c8e03371dabfacb6e0ce51c3246a9cbf0303607dc00d3385ed6f33e20
2,111.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004Ed2aD1228f815B4A18177B4dEc58ba8010f48
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00160038c1e36fee617f5b82634b391f0c733a8e910edf861ca5e2b63e515878
2,304.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:22:06 P.M.
From: 0x00313d513618D27dfa403b82d2d7ecFcD05503d6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c0014ff2d87a3736d996e7a499bbaf571c57ab655a050bc18944eda942e2d