Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 3:10:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 3:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 73.15
Unexplained QUAI: 1,948.99
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,022.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2022 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
73 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
Net sender
Unknown type
33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC
Net sender
Unknown type
25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Net sender
Unknown type
15.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
2,351.61 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:09:12 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,022.14 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:10:32 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,510.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:07:52 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,828.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:11:48 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:13:07 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
12.77 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:14:23 P.M.
-5 min
32 tx
1,188.66 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:05:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
33 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:10:05 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:10:55 P.M.
From: 0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0050003381a77413d6c7e58f3f6b95256bb35c4462e643c6fffc05262ec40509
15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:10:55 P.M.
From: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x005b00509cf4932a9798a41a769e6bd8e07aae1c14807a0bc10662ce256d8b13
0.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:10:55 P.M.
From: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x001c0026fb3255bf98a308f0009e92c6a9079aa27619768fc806f442b00c37dd
33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:10:05 P.M.
From: 0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x00230069fd1e938b76a55f192b868ea2c019daeb006e26ac6f83672243a8ab47