Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 3:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 3:03:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 658.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
658.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 659 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 3:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
440.16 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
218.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Net receiver
Unknown type
145.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
Net sender
Unknown type
126.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
106.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 440.16 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
550.67 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:02:47 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
702.09 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:01:35 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
658.54 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:04:04 P.M.
+2 min
32 tx
1,188.66 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:05:17 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:00:23 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:59:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 3:06:41 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
2,938.09 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:57:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
145.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
72.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:28 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0002005df6addfb4abca4951a83af58ffd725573586a46a95224716202103f97
145.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x001a12A2e9796dE43550dD019be23cbfeC83A27E
Tx: 0x002e001444f1e868fed2396a583223b1b26bff525b5b12fcc59b83bf172ebadd
126.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
From: 0x005001a4674aDa44105f5db494b88A4D8B113fE4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075005e1ac8edce05181e1b409474d842556a27b9fd1a925c382e79579cf450
102.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021000cf702dfe9fb59dcaa2f1cb589b6b23d7e4c3b7dbfba38a4b6301c3a6e
106.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062005a39cc41fb806dd60727038f76e9b1273327253a206c67f589828f54c8
103.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 3:03:04 P.M.
From: 0x00055A693cBA1493A9D058C12ad7186f25BB1e19
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d00616d5e8d3cbe7a21767c2b71aad4717334e3afc1c195bcf70ddc52e332