Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 2:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 2:42:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,500.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net sender
Miner wallet
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:42:19 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
501.34 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:40:59 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
61,653.47 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:39:37 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
20,500.52 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:43:42 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
84,960.15 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:45:06 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
500 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:38:19 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:46:28 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
5,923.61 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:36:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:42:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,999.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:42:49 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x005300030b66b8c8b17f7517daa484b1664d5ff2fc5a84db03f50ccad0ef0dc3
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:42:42 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00510038c57b2736cbfd9c4a92e27d8893328951e13fdbe49cb7d7ececd13a8b
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:42:42 P.M.
From: StratumX miner
0x007D3214C60935F4A732eD21141F85B9F9e39BD3
Miner wallet
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007b004a6c8a25604d3f86137a97ce9ecf2251dbbf7a0ff3230bc5335c8616e2