Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 2:03:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 803.98
Unexplained QUAI: 19,618.93
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
20,422.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20423 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
544.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Net receiver
Unknown type
544.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
228.17 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
74.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
34.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate52 tx
21,209.18 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:02:24 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
20,422.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:03:47 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,880.24 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:00:53 P.M.
+2 min
15 tx
803.98 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:05:07 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
150 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:59:41 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
242.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:06:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
19,999.18 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:58:30 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 2:07:39 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
544.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
4.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x0051003d381e2651c59c432778b04374cc54183ce634edf19394064708ab1f16
9.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00202E497072B33a735875051C12c8902897Dd51
Tx: 0x00270050357c12e35e9d34da7c31b4a5059da37a5586e6a54c4a28f020e477e3
20.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x00780072c3c76bf543b8af21c1fd6d68d3348a85f74c1f52338619c0f23c3c29
6.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x002200556589236b8baa56cca622b3a4925a98837f8c46abfc1792ec25a8fcde
74.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x000a007265eddba0e37d8648efc7a6aa14f50f609d0aba8678a78d777e498864
16.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x004d001f00ffde7e138ea661039644e498adf41f8c1f294a007dfe42ab818ca4
6.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x000c002ce006411d9059b344d2bd148528fb68708feebce37e0c1805d42e516c
25.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0039005609026604fba412dbf76a12db7d4bef2c0dd081c88b0a0a6bc8ccb241
14.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
Tx: 0x001f006503799be4808791f8809520631fb4ad77380d1feacfc11848f131dbd9
4.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x005f0059e8a84db5df0f4e3fe96d662274dd580892e5ab807bc5926fa920208a
4.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007a33010eB916D46737585E11598EABF8fDF188
Tx: 0x0035007cc60f251b927082d4c7a8f68ab3998467dbf9e4a558f85d8d1fe031b1
5.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005581090aB83408A97aa15376EC84Fb3dbdEa45
Tx: 0x0013005bbd7e99a5cb15c3903beeafc93c6a9d70bea19413c938e19c935d0b2b
34.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000a00452c526a3be2371cd891d51888c3e7f2dedae192148e0785f7fb2e2617
544.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Tx: 0x000a0000741b65fbfab1077e0354da403b33a47b8b2ec062c98cc9c8a3670f95
31.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 2:03:59 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x00016FCcAfd998472da64734100afac36a0D0947
Tx: 0x004b003759d5798b696d6704fad5e707b116ca7c0593382facbdd84938bee1fb
