Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:48:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:49:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 943.87
Unexplained QUAI: 948.43
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,892.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1892 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
545.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Net receiver
Unknown type
545.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Net sender
Unknown type
398.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
398.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
25,092.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:47:30 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,892.3 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:48:42 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,685.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:46:19 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,702.25 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:49:53 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
1,032.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:44:59 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19,998.74 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:51:07 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,563.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:43:43 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
9,239.34 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:52:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
545.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:48:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
545.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:48:37 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Tx: 0x004d007a6ac25a18cf9463cbf1f5f5eaab7d6a09bdc347ef6831681986f5933e
398.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:48:09 P.M.
From: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0072002fd574d3e2fc82da436d6d1966b3a14d28890090f1394a10f0686a97ec