Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:47:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,992.98
Unexplained QUAI: 99.43
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
6.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
25,092.41 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 25092 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
Net sender
Unknown type
3,498.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,498.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,494.88 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
2 repeated flows • 1,092.3 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
3,685.4 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:46:19 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
25,092.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:47:30 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,032.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:44:59 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,892.3 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:48:42 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,563.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:43:43 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,702.25 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:49:53 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
19,998.74 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:51:07 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
502.01 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:42:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.17 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:47:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
402.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:47:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0043349D5daef3eEE3685e72Dc0b8Efe5a534d71
Tx: 0x0058007a5af884e8b8883a81741edda4c4c43fb130a41f2e54a202f8813dea52
545.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:47:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Tx: 0x0026002310edde9d04bedf365d4bcb90b7fa63df9e8c6f73af2b6cdb7df577e4
3,498.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:47:03 P.M.
From: 0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x006f000ab413b401296fbb4cc4c58acac36ac9feb7a50a6faa70e841a3099ef9
546.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:47:03 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x000469d88d39C7dB28fB5E4f0c1510a88F5c6249
Tx: 0x007e00669dc66724226a3295493d36beeabb5f35fa7a94cf0a72383c10c642a6
19,999.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:47:03 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0019001e63cb24f79b663e77ce6867d58c0d0997b73e2cb6fa3505c097e70650