Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:40:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,033.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
1,033.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1033 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,033.3 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC
Net receiver
Unknown type
530.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
Net receiver
Unknown type
502.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
21,031.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:39:40 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
1,033.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:41:02 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:38:20 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
502.01 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:42:22 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:37:04 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
20,431.15 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:35:43 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,563.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:43:43 P.M.
+5 min
2 tx
1,032.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:44:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
530.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:40:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
530.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:40:06 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0062754C4bF079aCfCc0b3873Eff31635d53ABFC
Tx: 0x00140024e8ea6c56758d82a9ad28fecb754998d2a95a008f8e1c296b8a8cff02
502.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:40:06 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0044b8444617C47d41AcDbC09787d65cBfBcD78f
Tx: 0x001200689536610dff48d5f81de901dae6d5258e9c752e8c33dbbd99e97b2569