Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:35:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 430.64
Unexplained QUAI: 20,000.51
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
20,431.15 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 20431 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
Net sender
Unknown type
427.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
427.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2.67 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
17,147.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:34:26 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
20,431.15 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:35:43 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:33:12 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:37:04 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
17,252.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:31:52 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:38:20 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
1,848.16 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:30:31 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate3 tx
21,031.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:39:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
427.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:35:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
427.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:35:25 P.M.
From: 0x00700BD124Ffab1f7062D177aF1BB323Efee2665
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003000169bec224513e4343d4f6382d72d0f46a660394c7c08bc1c88e0207c85
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:35:20 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0020004137d121a2475174e3774d852acc2876f495d96d9af58aba9bae5e43d2
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:35:17 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005b0010625d92f246720a12addd28ddc3593871f5d1e36d1b3544a8c4a79015