Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:29:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 751.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
554.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 555 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
750.51 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Net sender
Unknown type
493.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
Net sender
Unknown type
68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Net sender
Unknown type
68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Net sender
Unknown type
65.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
554.92 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:29:08 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
22,002.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:27:48 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,552.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:26:32 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
1,848.16 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:30:31 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
17,252.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:31:52 P.M.
-4 min
11 tx
1,621.14 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:25:14 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:33:12 P.M.
-5 min
7 tx
21,847.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:23:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
493.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:47 P.M.
From: 0x006DA3935878404A42A9f4633FD41410B488E6B7
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x000b006db148f18dcc168a416f5c25d3536aa72183a72d5dd9ccf84b3a554906
68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x005100074ddfe50ab9c9277dce06af8a797ae39547d387857f033f693c8072bc
65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x001d006f2486f5001bc7a9cb23e5f8e29b26320f0b032f6c68f2785e552149c3
0.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x00430032af25af529c547aebedf9b63c02bf93269861776577e3ab795f7355f6
493.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x006b002ead93c715dc9f1845b1e3931a5b0dcfaa174aaaa3d5d425371d6c13e4
68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x002d005a6be1ebd4c0b1493e51bc709a92d48be9c29f454a303dc6368455c1e6
