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Spike bucket

09/10/2026, 1:29:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/10/2026, 1:29:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 751.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
554.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 555 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
750.51 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Net sender
Unknown type
493.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
Net sender
Unknown type
68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Net sender
Unknown type
68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Net sender
Unknown type
65.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

493.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:47 P.M.
From: 0x006DA3935878404A42A9f4633FD41410B488E6B7
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x000b006db148f18dcc168a416f5c25d3536aa72183a72d5dd9ccf84b3a554906
68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x005100074ddfe50ab9c9277dce06af8a797ae39547d387857f033f693c8072bc
65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x001d006f2486f5001bc7a9cb23e5f8e29b26320f0b032f6c68f2785e552149c3
0.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x00430032af25af529c547aebedf9b63c02bf93269861776577e3ab795f7355f6
493.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x006b002ead93c715dc9f1845b1e3931a5b0dcfaa174aaaa3d5d425371d6c13e4
68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:29:41 P.M.
From: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x002d005a6be1ebd4c0b1493e51bc709a92d48be9c29f454a303dc6368455c1e6