Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:27:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
0% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 73
Unexplained QUAI: 21,929.8
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
14x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
22,002.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 22003 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
73 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Net sender
Unknown type
43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
Net sender
Unknown type
16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Net sender
Unknown type
14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,552.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:26:32 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
22,002.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:27:48 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
1,621.14 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:25:14 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
554.92 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:29:08 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
21,847.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:23:57 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
12,786.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:22:46 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
1,848.16 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:30:31 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
956.94 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:21:31 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
43 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:27:58 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:27:58 P.M.
From: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x00740042d5a2ca0c91603a659ff965792927fa6dec7b1413b617a08ec5dab792
14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:27:45 P.M.
From: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0034005dcaec152b4b6203fa56d2e6a158cccb1b8920c9cdead218ced3cb8b2d
16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:27:22 P.M.
From: 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0076002297c4e2071ff0d8bbd8d76b1c7b05e8af36230becfcdc7a558cde441d