Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:22:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,786.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
27x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
12,786.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 12787 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915 • 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
12,786.92 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
Net sender
Unknown type
7,091.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006DA3935878404A42A9f4633FD41410B488E6B7
Net sender
Unknown type
5,695.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
956.94 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:21:31 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
12,786.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:22:46 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
479.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:20:13 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
21,847.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:23:57 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
2,391.44 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:18:58 P.M.
+3 min
11 tx
1,621.14 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:25:14 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
479.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:17:47 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
477.55 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:16:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,091.82 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:22:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
7,091.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x002a0020e31b759cf7ac53720c794ad1b0daa375e520f484e934609a7b202dd7
5,695.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:22:01 P.M.
From: 0x006DA3935878404A42A9f4633FD41410B488E6B7
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x005e0061cbc3285d923646d653c00972ca7fa8cea8e447221c784dc5402a856c