Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 1:08:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 1:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35,023.35
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
36x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
35,023.35 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35023 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
34,066.41 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
13,855.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
956.94 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006DA3935878404A42A9f4633FD41410B488E6B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
479.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 34,066.41 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
21,433.67 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:07:58 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
980.11 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:06:39 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
35,023.35 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:09:24 P.M.
-3 min
27 tx
21,114.31 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:05:19 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,434.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:10:35 P.M.
-4 min
56 tx
9,265.99 QUAI • 74 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:04:02 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
628.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:11:48 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
456.62 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 1:02:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
479.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x006DA3935878404A42A9f4633FD41410B488E6B7
Tx: 0x001d002ded3a466725176754ad211bf4c510673f8382a61d3990de4a237279b0
477.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004afbd73C78D77f57740655cd2061839eB3f254
Tx: 0x00740053100365abf3ba3bed385ea29db1333cd31d069733015dfc6494011c68
104.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023001fd7fc586044b54b16d10dafcd76691776b82dfd902916499ca5435ee5
19,998.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005006c4e379b27c2fddaea0ed6d7aece80d6368d1d35a11a5bc2d139c79b2a
13,855.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00680023f1dcc18e9662e296ad99f0ebe0398f8efa416e48b854ea8be52a64cb
107.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 1:08:59 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012003fc81f8e294412953acf649d72fada7f6a4975ab7ef19f8fd8bd82a4ac