Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:50:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 168,468.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
1,886.55 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1887 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
167,058.61 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net sender
Unknown type
130,236.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
16,823.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,409.91 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
2 repeated flows • 953.29 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 167,058.61 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
52,210.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:49:37 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,886.55 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:50:56 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
21,864.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:48:20 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
168,468.52 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:52:14 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
932.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:46:55 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
18,233.54 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:45:35 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
2.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:53:34 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
54.56 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:54:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
130,236.78 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
130,236.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:53 P.M.
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00120077574622d0e236c60b0cd1afb0d42559ac6e11507f4dbc9f575bee62db
16,823.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:53 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0073002ff1c707e9a3b88f3ac20cc3717ec7ee58d93ab89c285b1d5b19a2c296
19,998.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:53 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00520030e294e05d298e5a1e7c487b16cc9642c6c97201e0376f206fcc2af486
476.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:53 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Tx: 0x001d0033c9c8e8afdcec288799901fb45114109d903ab49d5976a86935ed1d98
476.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:30 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Tx: 0x00220026f2170f68e6f0384782bb1f00b2520666c6b90001dcb74b425bcde981
456.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:50:17 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Tx: 0x001f00008f62553e23130f62cd913dc76abb4970dd06149e416182aee6ede07c
