Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:47:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,387.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
21,387.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21387 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,388.22 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Net receiver
Unknown type
911.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Net receiver
Unknown type
476.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
2 repeated flows • 911.58 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
932.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:46:55 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
18,233.54 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:45:35 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
21,864.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:48:20 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate8 tx
173,718.68 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:44:16 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
52,210.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:49:37 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
31,494.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:42:56 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
1,886.55 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:50:56 P.M.
-5 min
7 tx
4,084.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:41:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:47:34 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:47:34 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x006300600166dee94d7bfed23287b6046a8824dd75c8bdcbcbcd06a102922b58
476.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:47:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Tx: 0x0004007de0c03b871b5b412ab694621095749d0fe165ab43bc5750c819880ee3
455.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:47:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Tx: 0x002a006561769e94807bee9531eb283bb0a45bb4375645aa2e8a04d53451e426
455.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:47:10 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Tx: 0x006e0044345959920427613e645c7862c4c3ec4a63a71558059ac21165962748