Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:46:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:46:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:47:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 932.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
932.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 933 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:46:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
932.89 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Net receiver
Unknown type
477.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Net receiver
Unknown type
455.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
18,233.54 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:45:35 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
932.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:46:55 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
173,718.68 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:44:16 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
21,864.49 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:48:20 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
31,494.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:42:56 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
4,084.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:41:36 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
52,210.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:49:37 P.M.
+5 min
4 tx
1,886.55 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:50:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
477.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:46:48 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
477.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:46:48 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002fdba693c76DDc5e1dDE50b82f2736f08FA778
Tx: 0x00140006c8d75c47556525d0be6c3dde8b77ae107d9a238fa5c2ee4aea2833eb
455.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:46:34 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x004B77a22C6b63E86fe10C6cF124033721c94960
Tx: 0x0076004251fdbf104a7d46a937ec94c3b704035933ad00c61db0d7934dae56a4