Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:40:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,682.51
Unexplained QUAI: 17,913.72
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
7.5x previous minute
5.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
21,596.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 21596 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
2,501.51 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,498.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,081 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00284f74d7Fdef7f019c3d67707706DA71B0A791
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,081 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,003.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
3 repeated flows • 1,498.5 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
2 repeated flows • 1,003.01 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
21,596.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:40:16 P.M.
-1 min
8 tx
2,897.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:38:55 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
47,313.91 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:37:35 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
4,084.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:41:36 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
31,494.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:42:56 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,092.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:36:07 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate8 tx
173,718.68 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:44:16 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
30,674.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:34:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,081 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00284f74d7Fdef7f019c3d67707706DA71B0A791
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1,081 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:54 P.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00284f74d7Fdef7f019c3d67707706DA71B0A791
Tx: 0x000d005d3ea82ba92c771c74ff2a3b1256552921336ae314e3b5305f145cdbbb
501.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:54 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x0016007e0589f00acd814dc32562671b58802337b73bd41c643320a41394b0e0
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:54 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x0019005dad0dc81e66766f0c4847dc2844cc71c5560ef064792ae1af0bed670d
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:40 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x0036002181936ae62d698bad0231eb0d4a0d0dce03be0e961382b9f87dcf6e68
501.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x00120019bb6f98df62220c4d9fb8ea47d7c2012016875fb857801032a4a97205
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:06 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x000800488d18972ad0d525907f2aa3badb53329a25ac5d2cc20058ac56636d75
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:40:06 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x007c002b5556a1e42345197ea2af9c8392117c14ad33a9c5b2cf6fb2fe6173f4