Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:38:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22,896.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
2.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
2,897.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2898 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 3 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
2,498.51 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,498.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
3 repeated flows • 1,498.5 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
2 repeated flows • 1,000.01 QUAI
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a → 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
2 repeated flows • 200 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
47,313.91 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:37:35 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
2,897.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:38:55 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,092.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:36:07 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
21,596.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:40:16 P.M.
-3 min
9 tx
30,674.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:34:46 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
4,084.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:41:36 P.M.
-5 min
8 tx
2,424.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:33:26 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
31,494.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:42:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.72 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
19,998.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:51 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007300333b4bcb6b300a91734072ec2e43a7a27eb3918260842e83477dc24cd3
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:51 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x00700047bcb2d7bff2988de1d7010d90b1af11323799718ccca614b5510e6edf
199.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x0049ef5606991E8D8e3a6B67B0789746bA97F9fB
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006200409b0a0d6db8d23c7321dc753a58acd2b3b3b51869e0f9d58882a8875b
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x000f0002438925f87434be4372e4bc9adc9e959b95bfc9752a6d67100f18b152
501.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x0048007f26ee0a4ae886f1c7111e490f866cda15ebbc28b7c0456ab3547e4568
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:36 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x004b002ef0e5812249d5d6e64a8ffe55b818d3d7c40178a2d0dff9937b304060
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:12 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x00460032a8763ee772d84f9dd6e74d726ac5f9f9f06f8fd3307c98adbff87ec4
498.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:02 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x003b00696fdae35e228057277f91d55c09c89612d515c5c2e94617d02dfb6e97
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:38:02 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x007a001e350e8f63191098dae6deeb1f2518a46a4f19190435779ae6f6e49421