Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,715.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,092.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1093 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 3 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Net sender
Unknown type
4,524.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
2 repeated flows • 998 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
2 repeated flows • 995.02 QUAI
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a → 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
2 repeated flows • 200 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,092.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:36:07 P.M.
-1 min
9 tx
30,674.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:34:46 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate11 tx
47,313.91 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:37:35 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
2,424.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:33:26 P.M.
+3 min
8 tx
2,897.57 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:38:55 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:32:04 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
21,596.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:40:16 P.M.
-5 min
6 tx
20,683.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:30:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:57 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0051002528c2fb830e001387160df32028aede9a20667c72a21cab5e6a36cb9e
499 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x00230073e5c94106f034a2c17d26187d15b73654c09a09cd2aa94a98ea952326
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:34 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x0063004f7f3cc5cdc9d8725deb022d44dcfbdc89597308eefe03c869b8cf8360
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:34 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x0039004afe2f6060755e02a84deb6313d7cf5fc842b7afdaf15b5f282237963b
499 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x0053004909037e2eff95815443b409d1ca7dd1405900e74f41a7a008e32cfc71
4,524.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0061000207f83c4e75752715bc320b153bb70f38d38c635d5f17978766d9c7c4
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x0034004298d409a578029cf26e0fe34fec868dc48757b567d89f832d576ecbaf
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00050033be3a10bce856f038ac51964e0e7fbe96082e48f1e5e7e9c053bd48af
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x004c006c7066ae8270d1edcf2dd5f09b3e3f786ed39d43aa103948a97b34b68f
