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Spike bucket

09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,715.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
1,092.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1093 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 3 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Net sender
Unknown type
4,524.05 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
2 repeated flows998 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
2 repeated flows995.02 QUAI
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
2 repeated flows200 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:57 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0051002528c2fb830e001387160df32028aede9a20667c72a21cab5e6a36cb9e
499 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:57 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x00230073e5c94106f034a2c17d26187d15b73654c09a09cd2aa94a98ea952326
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:34 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x0063004f7f3cc5cdc9d8725deb022d44dcfbdc89597308eefe03c869b8cf8360
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:34 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x0039004afe2f6060755e02a84deb6313d7cf5fc842b7afdaf15b5f282237963b
499 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:23 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00045E2CAbb58D8aE6c48FAE035DB130434eeF45
Tx: 0x0053004909037e2eff95815443b409d1ca7dd1405900e74f41a7a008e32cfc71
4,524.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x0061000207f83c4e75752715bc320b153bb70f38d38c635d5f17978766d9c7c4
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x0034004298d409a578029cf26e0fe34fec868dc48757b567d89f832d576ecbaf
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00050033be3a10bce856f038ac51964e0e7fbe96082e48f1e5e7e9c053bd48af
Open txWallet profile
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:36:11 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x004c006c7066ae8270d1edcf2dd5f09b3e3f786ed39d43aa103948a97b34b68f