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Spike bucket

09/10/2026, 12:35:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/10/2026, 12:35:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,092.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
1,092.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1093 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
992.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Net receiver
Unknown type
497.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Net receiver
Unknown type
495.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

497.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:35:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
495.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:35:06 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Tx: 0x003300563adc7a7342e79963ce60ac6d14bd45c042941e4d9ea4b301aaff446a
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:35:06 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x00490035d23f1c6fa8ac739322cc5504c895dbd9089751876de75b7f7c6de58d
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:35:06 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x003b002769b96178ff86dfe9ad8d23a898bfd1048add37b0e42fcf359979ecf4