Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:33:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:34:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,286.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,424.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 2424 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
27,993.74 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net sender
Unknown type
23,494.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007F95e091491def946BFA3006773019C37de1Ec
Net sender
Unknown type
4,499.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
992.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Net receiver
Unknown type
497.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 27,993.74 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
2,424.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:33:26 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:32:04 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
20,683.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:30:42 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
30,674.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:34:46 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,092.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:36:07 P.M.
-4 min
13 tx
42,793.59 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:29:23 P.M.
-5 min
8 tx
6,305.94 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:28:01 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate11 tx
47,313.91 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:37:35 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,494.18 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:47 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
4,499.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:47 P.M.
From: 0x007F95e091491def946BFA3006773019C37de1Ec
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00430048788c8efbf780f3652401b494c12bbe3b7f23ab5b3bb0aae75b77562e
23,494.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:47 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590018f75216987de454456e69f8057a12f8b1eb6a858c94a053be00e8e8be
495.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:47 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Tx: 0x006b007959d384bc2934802435e12abf4ca11f252ec76b0686ddbe39789e0da5
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:47 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x005e00727b805f6b621dea4934d274faeb20609f27f73afe784cf26c56c47500
497.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:47 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x000a006e50c60f9266299d4bb8b83d491c501c13f5aca00a4c6cd0631ab6c365
200.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:33:10 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0049ef5606991E8D8e3a6B67B0789746bA97F9fB
Tx: 0x000600654d052d582e05d8796c46077503ee3c1f2220653c8d3979433b44bd10
