Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:31:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:32:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,116.3
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
1,116.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1116 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,014.96 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Net receiver
Unknown type
515.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Net receiver
Unknown type
499.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
20,683.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:30:42 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:32:04 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate13 tx
42,793.59 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:29:23 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
2,424.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:33:26 P.M.
-3 min
8 tx
6,305.94 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:28:01 P.M.
-4 min
9 tx
5,065.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:26:42 P.M.
+4 min
9 tx
30,674.41 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:34:46 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
1,092.56 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:36:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
515.46 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:31:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:31:59 P.M.
From: 0x007E06499E6f888438cEd1326A9ecCcc2281362a
To: 0x00412C58dDa01c9292D4B066126a0b3693ad8B33
Tx: 0x002a0056f377b72dec0f1df78200082ee65c55323d171ba62f2111aca3da9413
515.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:31:59 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002A20f3bc4b6D94a77ADF788fACD48ae04b7982
Tx: 0x006d0045ba9f2c0ee9d43a170fd568e55995dd4ab76d1da8b92bdb79081b969a
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:31:59 P.M.
From: 0x00206EA94ab4D72E1df29382Ed3F447F10674A61
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002000213bc23b9edbe98d3f1683f54141795db6726627a41e838cce80d3ac9f
499.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:31:59 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0002b615ae56902f83b369e59e6139B0D4d0296B
Tx: 0x00510054a42f0a79c7b00b7b88a6effe95b170d3cd8571026ecca224816f63f7