Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:26:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,291.99
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
5,065.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5066 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA • 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Balanced
Unknown type
7,840.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,910.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,920.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
1,957.86 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Net receiver
Unknown type
967.76 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
2 repeated flows • 990.1 QUAI
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
2 repeated flows • 967.76 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,920.16 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:25:18 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
5,065.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:26:42 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,475.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:24:01 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
6,305.94 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:28:01 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
495.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:22:44 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate13 tx
42,793.59 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:29:23 P.M.
-5 min
9 tx
8,920.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:21:24 P.M.
+5 min
6 tx
20,683.5 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:30:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,920.6 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:13 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:58 P.M.
From: 0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf
To: 0x001B920cB696112309b831d725a6e7CA4A8aD3C9
Tx: 0x003900381d49c9ac20d2b031777998dfca023fda02f7cb83a361f18e6c5ad881
3,920.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:58 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002200609cb1afa78b1e0328d3ec178ba4ab53bcfb79f1ee2bc2f7b0ec363d45
495.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:58 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Tx: 0x005400264d798916fc8714204f98ffe36f1ba6355eb3726feba024cc2aec5024
625 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:58 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x007800498014b837b3b21543ca3d855825aba5a7af7e47e1b0f7e1f21c25c3e9
175.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:58 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0062007d21010b1f657045013d960f3be75da35b08e37b3b37e05319460ad51b
3,920.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:13 P.M.
From: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x00230054d3558e843dad8d5b6dfebf9957115ca3925019aa0f697d065c9c5b66
495.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Tx: 0x00520029534f8d691e009e1788e136ceee7b697398d513d112948f915f20ef14
9.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00780006c435519095f9c8bf29670e8b2994d4174acebcfe7d926ab1ec49a20c
18.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0008005dd53eca7b88015b72b4e8b89c17cea17265257578eab3efc90d9d19de
23.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a00235c38bbd7579b7a08d77ac733e90ef71561bbb80a52708c3985b97a2a
15.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001d0008dd27b9086fc5b47c92727912f502c5057a15b9377ff5dd99cb73f443
230 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000e0071c8c09b3cd75a38b43631a8982ee9441a8fc7c116d785ba72a7154df6
10.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00150044f9e85d0f2cc07986536947ebf98d95ff428528ab775ea349f9e5f91c
342.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:26:03 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0068A60ab289d2B264482233d7Fbf624aA207915
Tx: 0x003b0032a3c0207d0961874944947b77efe9dc5b6ea4011987631d51c0f9ddb8
