Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:22:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 980.49
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
495.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 495 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
980.49 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
495.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
Net receiver
Unknown type
485.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
9 tx
8,920.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:21:24 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
495.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:22:44 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,058.16 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:20:06 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,475.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:24:01 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
3,172.09 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:18:48 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:25:18 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
898.47 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:17:29 P.M.
+5 min
9 tx
5,065.87 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:26:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
495.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:22:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
485.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:22:44 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
Tx: 0x005400177d3579874f98a26f9b91c98e2fd366a9e146999cdc512330d3457685
495.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:22:44 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Tx: 0x0026001b44a49c65b0bd352c57c628a1ce7f54fc9f25a3a4eaef99d637f7397c
