Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:20:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
24% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,597.33
Unexplained QUAI: 11,460.83
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
4.7x previous minute
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
15,058.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15058 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (76% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
3,595.99 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,100.94 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
495.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
3 repeated flows • 3,100.94 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
15,058.16 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:20:06 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
3,172.09 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:18:48 P.M.
+1 min
9 tx
8,920.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:21:24 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
898.47 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:17:29 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
495.05 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:22:44 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
2,656.03 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:16:07 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,475.54 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:24:01 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,466.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:14:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,773.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:20:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:20:25 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x00260034b3d4dacf6a43ff9a71d15c6ac0eed09c9b4720b42c68f6c7eb351f35
889.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:20:25 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
Tx: 0x000c007eb5db5de4d9eae679e140a532b60128638137d2d966fd49e0850efd90
495.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:20:15 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0018F19Ee7599B4875deB1a89D3d740B431178b8
Tx: 0x000f0013efc2f25aa11af5d82cfc86773f68f567c66cd2f1ba44d00c3200ab23
438.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:20:15 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
Tx: 0x00280007fe72596ed4f5d9e68152e77eee78d1eeeee0d0dc23d6fba9b238534d
1,773.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:20:15 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x00074BE22ae8b59E4869e4cE26AA3391172D5dF3
Tx: 0x006a002155e7e419acef22018b6a4bb34254858b9b3c6f450244b73451603570