Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 12:17:00 P.M. to 09/10/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 898.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
898.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 898 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
898.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
Net receiver
Unknown type
898.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
2 repeated flows • 898.47 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
898.47 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:17:29 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
2,656.03 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:16:07 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1,466.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:14:44 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
3,172.09 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:18:48 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,058.16 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:20:06 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
501.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:13:25 P.M.
+4 min
9 tx
8,920.9 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:21:24 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/10/2026, 12:12:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
449.24 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:17:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
449.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:17:39 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
Tx: 0x0034001bfc275dad64a93dd85ac468d2adf51b062446800ee9145737e39f92b6
449.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 12:17:25 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0064495f99f70049b02DA53B9236049AdcCe6c43
Tx: 0x004600230e04288ec6856b8c6168255d8f09100535fc6e5d1a5d615f719851d5
