Spike bucket
09/10/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/10/2026, 6:41:00 A.M. to 09/10/2026, 6:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,277.5
Unexplained QUAI: 8,391.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
7.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
9,669.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 9669 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/10/2026, 6:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,277.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
Net receiver
Unknown type
979.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
Net receiver
Unknown type
178.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006816c0BB197785FEE20b2Fc58948B4Da58A90c
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
9,669.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:41:09 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
15,988.47 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:39:58 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,277.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:42:24 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
5,513.37 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:38:44 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate10 tx
19,149.46 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:37:32 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
5,151.61 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:43:39 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
8,068.26 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:44:54 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
2,536.15 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/10/2026, 6:36:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
979.29 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:41:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
979.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:41:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
Tx: 0x001f006d9f2e03f539bda1fcb202d100647fada735b2d22850dd6052771995b8
178.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:41:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
Tx: 0x003b0005f67278d8dcf013da9a0c27aa30c7dcdce6330894f1a22d71a8b4172a
120.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/10/2026, 6:41:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006816c0BB197785FEE20b2Fc58948B4Da58A90c
Tx: 0x007200551f56656b60e2312d549c36a841805d79df177c9c4d3908582db1ece1